UNCOMMON COMMON SENSE – November 2010
UNCOMMON COMMON SENSE By Bill FrayerConditional Probability: Not So Simple Last spring, Lakeside resident Charlie Smith sent me a New York Times article entitled “Chances Are” by Steven Strogatz. The article discusses the importance of examining the actual numbers when assessing probability. The article presents the following scenario: Assume a population of women 40-50 […]
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