November 2010

UNCOMMON COMMON SENSE – November 2010

UNCOMMON COMMON SENSE By Bill FrayerConditional Probability: Not So Simple   Last spring, Lakeside resident Charlie Smith sent me a New York Times article entitled “Chances Are” by Steven Strogatz. The article discusses the importance of examining the actual numbers when assessing probability.  The article presents the following scenario: Assume a population of women 40-50 […]

UNCOMMON COMMON SENSE – November 2010 Read More »